While all segments of the transportation industry are being hit hard by the current recession, the LTL sector is feeling the full force of the economic downturn. To pick up, consolidate, line haul, deconsolidate and deliver less than truckload shipments throughout a geographic area requires an asset heavy business model. LTL carriers require terminal networks to cross-dock, load and unload shipments to build cost effective loads. They require local pickup and delivery units and line haul vehicles to go from city to city. In this blog we will look at some of the developments currently unfolding in this industry.
Freight Volumes Declining Faster that Truck Capacity
As the Obama administration actively moves forward with an economic stimulus package to revive the ailing U.S. economy, the freight transportation market is still feeling the pain. The Institute for Supply Management reported its twelfth consecutive month of manufacturing contraction in the month of January. Based on the most recent truck tonnage index release from the American Trucking Associations (ATA), its advanced seasonally-adjusted For Hire Truck Tonnage Index sank 11.1 percent in December, representing the largest month-to-month reduction since April 1994, when the unionized less-than-truckload industry was in a labor strike. The ATA added that December’s tally marks the third largest single monthly drop since the ATA began collecting tonnage data in 1973.
According to John Larkin, Managing Director, Stifel Nicolaus, demand for LTL services is falling faster than the supply. The pattern of deteriorating LTL freight volumes has been ongoing for the past 3 quarters. LTL carriers have not been able to adjust capacity downwards to keep pace with the falling demand.
Same Number of Pickups, Smaller Size Shipments
From discussions with various LTL truckers, the phenomenon of lower weight LTL shipments appears to be happening across North America. As demand and confidence wane, shipment sizes are diminishing. This poses a challenge to LTL carriers since they cannot reduce driver wages or fuel consumption proportionately to the drop in shipment sizes or number of shipments.
More Direct to Destination Loadings
As LTL carriers seek to reduce costs and speed up transit times, they have been loading more trailers direct to destination rather than through their breakbulk networks. This process has been ongoing for several years and will likely receive a boost from the weak economy.
Capacity Consolidation
YRC is in the midst of consolidating its Yellow and Roadway LTL divisions. They are planning on removing up to 200 terminals by the end of the first quarter. YRC’s freight is being actively solicited by its competitors as they offer shippers a “safe haven” from a potential bankruptcy or chapter 11 filing.
Other trucking companies have announced terminal reductions of a smaller magnitude. These reductions along with the Jevic and Alvan failures in 2008 have removed some additional LTL capacity. The estimate is that there has been an approximately 13 percent reduction in capacity due to terminal closures and carrier failures.
ABF, long one of the best performing long haul carriers has hired a consultant to help them seek out potential acquisition candidates. For those companies with strong balance sheets, this is a time to add density at an attractive price. Full Story....
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